H ere's where Tammy lies today . Hurricane Tammy Crime ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has actually strengthened modestly since Friday night.
The storm enhanced into a typhoon on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon area for a cyclone to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy ought to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The route northward away from the Caribbean has actually ended up being less specific. Tammy was initially expected to be recorded by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer assistance is now suggesting that the storm may wander around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Typhoon Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a large and extremely effective cyclone that triggered massive destruction and considerable death. It is the costliest typhoon to ever hit the United States, surpassing the record formerly held by Typhoon Andrew from 1992.
Typhoon Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest loss of life in Cyclone Katrina was because of flooding brought on by engineering flaws in the flood security system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, in addition to big areas in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Cyclone warnings have actually now been issued for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That means hurricane conditions are anticipated in a few of these locations. You can see the most recent warnings and watches in the map listed below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy ought to spread throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some locations.
Rain totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area as much as 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (in your area as much as 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (in your area up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might trigger flooding and mudslides in a few of these areas.
Norma, now a Classification 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center said.
Air Force Reserve Cyclone Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore simply west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and cyclone and conditions were occurring over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the cyclone center.
Norma is expected to be somewhat weaker by the time it hits land, but it still will be a hurricane that might bring life-threatening conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a few hundred thousand people, the hurricane center stated.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Cyclone Tammy-- a Category 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has triggered typhoon warnings for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island nations and territories between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a danger to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy kept optimal sustained winds of 85 mph and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Cyclone Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 hurricane lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the cyclone center said.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over parts of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended external approximately 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward approximately 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are unusual for late October. Tammy is only the 3rd typhoon to form this far southeast in the Atlantic since 1900, according to hurricane expert Michael Lowry.
It's likewise the latest-forming typhoon in this part of the Atlantic considering that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Typhoon specialists formerly alerted cyclones could form in unusual areas later in the season this year because of the incredibly warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most severe risks and could result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rain totals for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, however might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain needs to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is most likely.
Conditions will start to enhance from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the typhoon center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy